THOMAS FRIEDMAN wrote a very American column on the eve of July 4th, though the subject was Israel and Egypt. The election of the Muslim Brotherhood's Mohamed Morsi as president of Egypt, he wrote, "could actually be the beginning of a real peace between the Israeli and the Egyptian peoples, instead of what we’ve had: a cold, formal peace between Israel and a single Egyptian pharaoh. But, for that to be the case, both sides will have to change some deeply ingrained behaviors, and fast." This is a fine American idea, the proposition that bitter, longstanding national feuds could be resolved if the participants would simply change their deeply ingrained behaviours, much as we could all be trim if we simply started running five miles every morning, and could all be rich if we simply adopted the seven habits of highly successful people.
But it's hard enough for individuals to change their deeply ingrained behaviours. As a rule of thumb, groups of people as large as nations are never capable of changing deeply ingrained behaviours, or not fast, anyway. Why is Mr Friedman bothering to hypothesise that this could happen? Perhaps because he doesn't want to write a bitterly negative column. Mr Friedman's point is that Israel must accept the reality that Arab countries will inevitably move towards democracy, and that democracy will mean more power for Islamists. Israel's longstanding preference for cutting deals with corrupt authoritarian rulers, over the heads of their people, has reinforced anti-Israel sentiment among Arab publics. But Israelis are unlikely to accept any message blaming them for the fact that most Arabs hate them, in part because they rightly think most Arabs will continue to hate them regardless of what policies they pursue. Had Mr Friedman written a column simply critiquing this Israeli tendency, he would have alienated Israeli and pro-Israeli readers. To retain influence as a commentator on the Israeli scene, as Jeffrey Goldberg has observed in criticising Peter Beinart, you have to refrain from an outsider's full-throated condemnation, and instead "figur(e) out what buttons you would have to push to get this particular prime minister and this government to do the things you’d want." Maybe by giving an implausible positive spin to his column, Mr Friedman is trying to ensure that Israelis are still able to hear what he's saying.
What he's saying is actually rather insightful. It isn't his own insight, though; he's borrowed it from Leon Wieseltier. In a piece in the Israeli newspaper Ha'aretz last month, Mr Wieseltier suggested that Israeli anxiety at the prospect of Arab democracy was linked to the age-old preference of Jewish diaspora communities for "vertical alliances" with sovereigns over "horizontal alliances" with surrounding communities.
The support and protection of kings and princes, of popes and bishops, have been preferred to a reliance upon the local population. The Jews were reluctant to trust their neighbors for their safety. Instead they sought a direct relationship with the highest authority and the most central power. Illustrations of this political strategy abound in all the periods of Jewish history. A great jurist in 13th-century Spain, for example, declared that dina de'malkhuta dina, "the law of the king is law," but dina de'ummta lav dina hu, "the law of the people is not law." And this suspicion of the surrounding population survived into the modern era in the Jewish enthusiasm for the nation-state, which seemed to offer protection from the indecencies of society.
Mr Wieseltier is right that the preference of a threatened minority for a vertical relationship with a sovereign, rather than the more menacing horizontal relationships with more numerous local popular majorities, has carried over into contemporary Israeli political attitudes. One might also note the relevance to Israel's attitude towards America, which it cultivates assiduously in the hope that the global hegemon can protect it when other countries turn against it. That unipolar dependency is just as dangerous to Israel, in the long run, as is its reliance on diplomatic relations with Arab dictators.
This dependency on the favour of the sovereign is hardly an exclusively Jewish phenomenon; it's common to many minority communities. Blacks in America have long depended on the protection of the federal government against racist local majorities and governments. Chinese communities in Southeast Asia depended on the protection of colonial European governors against indigenous populations prone to rioting against them. Gays and Muslims have sought protection at the EU level from repression at the hands of local majorities and governments. And, of course, the native inhabitants of the British colonies in America turned for protection to the British authorities when they were threatened by the depredations of land-hungry settlers. The crown's decree barring settlers from intruding on Indian lands past the Allegheny Mountains in 1764, and its habit of interceding on behalf of the Indians when settlers ignored the decree, furnished a major cause of resentment for the colonists. We can see the legacy in a little-remarked line in the list of grievances against King George III which the Continental Congress adopted on July 4th, 1776:
He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.
The Cherokee saw the events leading up to their conflicts with local settlers in 1776, after those settlers had expelled the regional superintendant of Indian affairs and begun settling disputed territory in eastern Kentucky, rather differently. No doubt, had the settlers and the Indians both been willing to change some of their deeply ingrained behaviours, their conflicts could have been resolved more amicably, and without resort to scalping and genocide. But that tends not to be the way things go between peoples with bitter, longstanding feuds. Happy belated Independence Day!



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Thomas Friedman failed miserably as a history maker (the TF inspired Saudi Peace initiative !!) and seems well on his way to equal failure as a theoretician/in depth chronolicher of events and trends in his presumed forte: Middle Eastern and especially Arab Israeli affairs.
That comes despite an extremely wide circle of acquaintances ranging from the "palace" to the "street" and a quite lengthy spell of residence during the crucial post 1967 in Beirut.
His endemic failure as a serious political thinker and “theoretician”, despite a regular spot at the august NY Times and endless appearances at specialist seminars, is evident in his approach to:
a-His defective and sadly lacking “understanding” and “digestion” of recent Arab and Palestinian history: its influence and implications
and
b-His superficial history-detruncated analysis of current Arab events in general.
Both seem to stem from congenital/cultural/confessional sources that usually abut into one singular, highly short sighted, culturally/confession ally imposed vision.
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Re (a): reading TF a new comer would deduce that the whole thing, the Middle East question?, only happened post 1967 as singular rootless uneventful one of event.
Hence his many articles almost invariably tackle post 1967 issue(s): "occupied Palestinian territories", "Settlements", "Peace with Israel", a la Camp David and Wadi Araba , Zionist/Israeli fears , disappointments (?) and visions and consequences thereof on, primarily, practically solely, on Israel.
Here he has shown moderately wide knowledge WITH a constantly variable litany of opinions to better conform with and accommodate the gradual unveiling of Zionist/Israeli designs and ambition and current USA policy.
This truncated vision and approach are NOT, though, necessarily the outgrowth of ignorance or inbred shallowness as much as it could treasonably be the deliberate outcome of a conscious plan to abridge, and belittle, the far more radical and more far reaching Palestinian issue into its post 1967 consequences: this being the unilateral Israeli, USA & allies and Arab officialdom perception of the question.
Re (b) Friedman’s perception of the Palestine issue, planned and tailored as it is to fit a certain futuristic vision of an Israel non rejecting region, inevitably over spilled over dominated, or rather was acquired,from a deliberate attempt to ignore and discount the Arab nationalist and Moslem cultura/historical dimensions and repercussions of ongoing and unfolding events.
Thence his arduous support of the conquest and destruction of Iraq, the attempted USA/Saudi domination of Syria, unfailing support of regional super power Israel etc.
Thomas Friedman, intrinsically a pro Israel anti Arab pundit, is certainly influential in the USA, with Arab officialdom and westernized Arab milieus of the “intellectual” and “business” varaieties.
His influence, however, where it really counts: with deep-rooted and publicly supported political movements that will determine the shape of things to come is not only a big zero but is perceived as a voice of the enemy of Arab future!
At best, and despite all attempts at achieving another standing, Thomas Friedman will remain to be a partial, subjective and Zionist driven but inconsequential reporter of events ….. and a very small reporter of events at a crucial stage in a crucial area.
Israel has had a series of criminal, if not terrorist, leaders who have all repeatedly allowed for settlements to be built in occupied territory against international law. They have waged a war of aggression against the Palestinian people for their land, demolishing homes, killing innocents, building walls and raising fences that serve to assist in the ethnic cleansing of the Palestinian people. America is just as guilty as Israel for the political and financial support lent to their illegal cause and for the arms sent to Israel to facilitate the murderous colonisation of Palestine. Israel's friendship with any other tyrant or authoritarian ruler has no bearing on the situation in Palestine if America continues to support them.
• As the Arab Spring proves again and again, the Mideast’s problems don’t really revolve around the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Ido Aharoni has clearer views than Thomas Friedman does :
"The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is neither the defining issue of the region nor the principal source of Arab discontent. Considering the 1,300-year-old span and depth of the Sunni-Shiite divide, the century old Israeli-Arab conflict seems brief by comparison. In truth, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been a convenient sideshow to the real problems within Arab societies and an implausible excuse used by Arab dictators who have ill-served the interests of their own populations and are now reaping the consequences of that neglect".
wishful thinking...no more and no less.
Hizb Allah is by far the most admired and cherished political entity Arab-Middle East wide
for the arabs to attain a democracy, at the very least, a hundred years more must elapse. Until then, Israel´s management of its foreign affairs to preserve life and security is the wisest. For as long as authoritarian rulers ( for corruption to cease, two hundred years is the minimum it will take for the arabs to reform) can assure stability and control of its more irrational subjects bent on jihad,they are a better guarantee of calm at the borders. Both Friedman and TE are irresponsible in their recomendations
The reason Thomas Friedman is such a rubbish columnist (and yes, I've read that everyone is picking on him at the moment, but it is richly deserved) is that he doesn't understand democracy. Or, more accurately, since he surely isn't that stupid, that he simply ignores it in favor of fantasy in his columns. He resolutely ignores that policy preferences (favoring less infrastructure investment over cutting Medicare, or Arabs favoring a critical stance towards Israel) that may or may not be right, but which he doesn't like, are nevertheless popular, and that there are reasons for this popularity. He always writes as if political leaders lack a kind of Manichean will to implement his favored policies, and never acknowledges that most of them would be political suicide.
Nobody expects opinion writers to acknowledge the unpopularity of their ideas in all their columns, but if they never acknowledge it, they start to look like deluded fantasists.
Ask the Druze minority in Israel whether Israel only does deals with Pharaoh &co.
Democracy is still being an utopia for the Islamic coutries, Egypt being in the bunch as well. What heppens between Egypt and Israel is just an artificial role playing scene trying to distract the world attention from what is really happening in Egypt.
Removals
Jews live in every country in the world with "horizontal alliances" with surrounding communities, and little "vertical alliances" with sovereigns. In Israel, for decades Jews had "horizontal alliances" with many palestinians and 20% of arabs who live in Israel, whose income and livelihood was generated in Israel, with little protection from "sovereigns". Just because Jordon and Egypt had relatively stable relationship with Israel, doesnt mean its a pattern of Jews seeking vertical alliances. Democracy in Islamic states is recipe for hell. Democracy means no one can escape the radical islamic oppressors, who control population and politicians thru violence and intimidation. Expecting better relations between Egypt and Israel because of the Muslim Brotherhood, or thinking that Israel is looking to Muslim Brotherhood for "Vertical alliance" is ridiculous. Its an attempt to mask the pure catastrophe that has just happened in Egypt. I dont like this article. @Librehab
This is such an anti Semitic (Yes Arabs are Semetic) and Islamaphobic comment that it barely deserves a response.
You are misusing the term antisemitic in a way that is rhetorically useful, but etymologically flawed. The term antisemitism has the appearance of having an etymology that would suggest anti-Arab, anti-Ethiopian, anti-Maltese, anti-Jewish, or anti-Phoenician (to name a few) feelings, the actual creation and historical and current usage of the term shows that to be a false etymology. The term originated as a scientific alternative to the German word "Judenhass" (Jew-hate) and it has been used specifically to denote a hatred of Jews.
But, if you dispute the history of the term and insist that antisemitism means a hatred of all Semitic peoples, then you are still using it wrong, to say hatred of Arabs or Jews is antisemitism (by your defition) would be incorrect. If, for example, one were to hate French Canadians and believe they should be exterminated, but had no opinions on either Anglo-Canadians or other Francophones, would that person be called an anti-Canadian or a Francophobe? No, they would specifically be called an anti-French-Canadian, because their feelings are directed at that specific group. Or, would a person who hates Latin Americans be called an anti-Romantic (since he hates a people whose language is in the Romance subgroup)?
Simply put, stop misrepresenting the term antisemitism, it does no one a service.
Point taken.
I however take issue with the fact that any form of criticism of Israel’s policies in the middle east lays one open to the charge of anti Semitism while the above comments are obviously racist and Islamphobic I quote "Democracy in Islamic states is recipe for hell"
Racism or no racism isn't that just an honest truth? Democracy in Germany brought Hitler to power, would it have been racist to point out that fact in the 30's? Islamism (as opposed to Islam) is a fascist ideology and an oppressive death cult. It has an extremely long record of violence, death worshiping and disdain for the very ideas of liberty and tolerance. In the current atmosphere Islamism is the only political creed which draws support from the masses of Arabs. This means democracy by popular vote is just not a good idea for them. It's not good for Arabs and it's not good for the world. We should all hope that the price of learning this lesson will not by tens of millions of deaths.
Democracy is not about popular vote but about proper institutions. All the successful liberal democracies went through a long gradual process from being liberal and constitutional in character to universal suffrage. In the beginning only educated property owners had a right to vote. Maybe Arabs should go through the same process. The principle of one man one vote is in some circumstances a truly bad idea. It tilts power in favor of groups in society which breed at an extremely high rate, shut themselves off from the world and vote as one bloc to whomever their local religious authority tell them to vote.
By the way Israel is plagued by the exact same problem with its religious extremists. The day will come when this problem will become so acute that Israel will have to make some tough decisions about this matter, or become a backward primitive failed state just like its neighbors. That day is still far in the case of Israel, but it is a reality now in the Arab world. There is nothing racist in pointing this out.
I understand your logic but its flawed. it implies that educated liberal smart people make better choices then people who are not so fortunate. yet history has shown us that the masses are anything but idiots.
If education was a requirement for voting then South Africa would still have apartheid. Democracy is not the best system of government but it’s better than any of the other options.
Maybe like the Germans did Arabs will show that democracy works.
Democracy is better in some societies but not ina all. It is definitley not good in societies which don't have liberal traditions or in societies with huge groups who vote as one bloc according to what the local muula tells them to vote.
As for south africa, the appartheid was actualy ended in a plebiscite which involved whites only. South africa would have been MUCH better off now if votes were restricted to people with education, responsibilities and tax burdens. The life span wouldn't have dropped to half and it wouldn't have become the crime capital of the world. The same goes fo Rhodesia\Zimbabwe. Humanity has not benefited at all from this doctrinaire inflexibility on the question of universal sufferage.
When confronted with a seemingly intractable dispute regarding territory, there are two common responses:
1) This is my land, and I'll fight to the death to hold it.
2) It's dirt. I can go get better dirt somewhere else.
The United States was primarily formed by people who opted for the latter choice (slaves were the most notable exception) and that approach is deeply embedded in the culture. The Middle East is almost entirely populated by those who made the former choice. So, when someone from the US (holding the perceptions that come with that heritage) weighs in on the disputes of the Middle East, he or she will almost always come across as smug and ignorant to the people of that region, even if their observations may seem quite reasonable from this side of the Atlantic.
Yeah sure dirt, that's why they bought Louisiana and Alaska and fought with Mexico over Texas and expanded in a single century to an almost entire continent. Back then they called it manifest destiny. Nasser once suggested the Americans give Florida to Israel to resolve the conflict. You think they wouldv'e agreed to give up that little peace of dirt called Florida?
As a rule of thumb, groups of people as large as nations are never capable of changing deeply ingrained behaviours, or not fast, anyway.
Nation-sized groups of people can change their deeply ingrained behaviors or views two ways:
- very slowly, usually involving several new generations with new ideas replacing older generations. (Think of the views of homosexuality in the United States.)
- relatively quickly, in response to traumatic events. (Such as losing wars, etc.) Not that a traumatic event necessarily leads to a change of behavior/view. Sometimes it leads to people doubling down on their losing position.
The question here is, how ingrained are these behaviors really? And, as a consequence, how traumatic an event will be required to move things forward?
We paid Egypt $3 billion a year to be 'friends' with Israel so they could make nice for decades! Israel never made any effort to do anything but be belligerent and play the bully even with Mubarak!
Israel has isolated themselves and now they want us to help them when they have killed people in 360 degrees around them! Not sure how Friedman is doing anymore than preaching and more like patronizing!
The federal government later wound up in the old role of King George, ineffectual, half-hearted, protector of the tribes. Particularly after the radical republicans wound up in charge after the civil war, charged with religious fervor, the Congress was set on saving the Indians. Of course this was completely impossible when the US Army was too weak and disorganized to protect the Indians from settlers, and had to rely on white locals (who were not keen on protecting the Indians) to do anything.
What would happen over and over again is that the feds would promise protection, but then the settlers would just keep murdering the Indians, and then they would finally take matters into their own hands, like with the Nez Pierce, and then the cavalry would wind up hunting them down. Then they would push them into new reservations farther from the whites, partly to keep them safe, and then whites would move west again, and it would start all over again.
The Feds efforts to help the Indians, which were actually pretty extensive, wound up doing more harm than good. Back then the BIA was set up and was essentially run by the Quakers (who had good intentions if nothing else), and they would try to help them by wiping out their culture in favor of Christianity, telling them to farm on land that couldn't grow anything, and moving them into close quarters where diseases wound up killing most of them off. Compounded with massive corruption, complete incompetence, and hubris. Like the Comanche, they'd promise food and supplies if they stopped raiding, but then the supplies would be stolen en route and the food would all by rotten, and then the tribes would go off the rez raiding, and then the cavalry would have to go track them down.
Anyway, the current image of the US Army being the cruel ones here, with the exception of some episodes like Sand Creek, is mostly incorrect. It was average Americans who were doing the persecuting and killing in the face of our government trying to stop them. And this did about as much good as the Supreme Court standing up for the Cherokee.
I guess the point is that government is usually too weak to be able to stand up to its own people, particularly when they're dead set on a pogrom.
And yet some have the temerity to call our government a dictatorship with Pres. Obama featured as Communist Dictator.
Your view is closer to the historical facts.
Another problem was cultural ignorance on both sides. The term "Indian-giver" probably originated from profound misunderstanding. Europeans believed they were buying land from people who lacked the concept. The inevitable result snowballed and the rest is history, certainly what started as a mistake grew in the retelling and poisoned relations ever since..
I should be ashamed for writing that last sentence, but it compresses a number of sociology and history texts into one concise if confusing sentence.
Is there no Middle East blog at TE? That was way too long of a stretch just to make it fit in DiA.
Old sour grapes souring anew given the anniversary of the colonists standing up to throw off the cruel yoke of British tyranny.
(I'm just busting chops, you Limey bastards; I'm an economist reader, after all.)
I want to give you credit for the post and take it as a complete satire but you make light, I think, of the reality that "ingrained behavior" reflects actual differences. All the argument in the world can't make actual differences go away.
I agree that Friedman's column is silly American style preaching.
Yada Yada said...
Yada Yada Yada said...
Yada Yada Yada Yada replied to Yada Yada Yada....
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But Buttonwood nailed it yesterday.
The golden rule for politicians is to watch what they do, not what they say.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2012/07/austerity
NPWFTL
Regards
So you're saying Yada Yada Yada said not to pay attention to what Yada Yada says?
Said Yada Yada Yada Yada?
No, they all need to pay attention to each other.
That way they still can tell their boss they are providing a "productive service" to justify their job.
NPWFTL
Regards
Is the Economist suggesting that Israel is the Cherokee with Nukes?
I think basically most political arguments are about who gets to be the Indians and who gets to be the cowboys.
...or who gets to be David and who gets to be Goliath..