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America's job growth

Mr Bernanke's recovery

May 4th 2012, 14:11 by R.A. | WASHINGTON
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flymulla May 12th 2012 9:19 GMT

OBESITY. I just read this and I do not see any sense in pushing the blame on the leaders. Where are the parents, school mates, friends, and the neighbour. I do not agree to the complete article as politicians are not always with the children and why this article was printed at all, surprises me. Congress, particularly Republicans, loves to invoke safeguarding future generations. But no issue so brazenly shows both major parties’ disregard for America’s young and a reflexive pandering to corporate profits as recently derailed efforts to reverse childhood obesity—by, of all things, suggesting that food makers voluntarily change the way they market foods, snacks and drinks to impressionable kids. Childhood obesity affects one in five Americans under 18—15 million or more kids, with the highest rates in communities of colour, according to public health scientists. Advocates, who add in overweight youths, call it an “unprecedented national health crisis” that affects one in three kids. Extended into adulthood, obesity accounts for one-fifth of the nation’s healthcare expenses. Indeed, as two lawmakers who pushed for the marketing changes last year wrote, “Children today are likely to be the first generation to have a shorter lifespan than their parents.” (I disagree with this, as the youths are eating the veg more then their dads did) But even the most innocuous efforts to confront real problems—getting industry to police itself with voluntary guidelines—get shot down by lobbyists and politicians. Last week, a report by the Sunlight Foundation Reporting Group pried open the eyebrow-raising paper trail that in mid-December ended a multi-year, science-based effort for the federal government to issue marketing guidelines for cereals, snacks, fast food, sodas and drinks pushed on kids.(You can never push any if you do not want to buy CRM has failed and we are the ones who buy without asking) The paper trail showed the lengths to which corporate America will go to protect profits using every available means—campaign donations, attacking science, asserting corporate constitutional rights, and threatening federal agencies with smear campaigns—and how nearly 200 lawmakers from both parties piled onto their tirade, ignoring a nationwide health epidemic affecting millions of children and teenagers, to say nothing of adults. The evidence—especially letters attacking the initiative signed by scores of lawmakers from both parties—shows how ingrained protecting profits, not standing up for the public interest, is in Congress and Washington’s corporate lobbying culture. Amid deepening poverty and unemployment for masses of American working people, the largest US corporations once again posted record profits last year. Fortune magazine released its ranking of the 500 biggest US corporations Monday, which showed that they received a record-breaking $824 billion in combined profits in 2011, up 16 percent
from 2010. But despite having more money than ever, companies are refusing to invest and hire. Instead, they are paying out record bonuses to executives and hoarding what remains in cash. MIT economist Daron Acemoglu, co-author of Why Nations Fail. In an interview with Think Progress, Acemoglu explained what he called, “a general pattern throughout history”: Seriously? The President, already polling badly with seniors, is about to interrupt General Hospital to come out for gay marriage?!"Mathus may have right as Our highest government officials, up to and including President Bush, broke international and U.S. laws banning torture and cruel, inhuman, and degrading treatment. Worse, they made their subordinates in the military and civilian intelligence services break those laws for them. When the men and women they asked to break those laws protested, knowing they could be prosecuted for torture, they pretended to rewrite the law. They commissioned legal opinions they said would shield those who carried out the abuses from being hauled into court, as the torture ban requires. “The law has been changed,” detainees around the world were told. “No rules apply.” Then they tortured. They tortured men at military bases and detention centers in Afghanistan and Iraq, in
Guantánamo, and in U.S. Navy bases on American soil; they tortured men in secret CIA prisons set up across the globe specifically to terrorize and torture prisoners; they sent many more to countries with notoriously abusive regimes and asked them to do the torturing. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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flymulla May 11th 2012 20:00 GMT

There you have a perfect democracy, economy, theft, wars, and taxpayers coughing more tax daily. For a generation, America's political economy has been gripped in a vicious cycle. IT and economy. Those at the top of the economic pile have taken an ever-growing share of the nation's income, and then leveraged that haul into ever-greater political power, which they have in turn used to rewrite the rules of “the market” in their favour. Wash, rinse and repeat. It is the result of years of institutional investments by the corporate Right (we do not the good copyrights lawyers) to advance a reactionary legal regime in America's courts. In the process, the richest Americans now have their hands in both our legislative and judicial branches, while working America has become a voiceless stepping-stone “The more pernicious effect of economic inequality comes indirectly through its impact on political inequality,” says MIT economist Daron Acemoglu, co-author of Why Nations Fail. In an interview with Think Progress, Acemoglu explained what he called, “a general pattern throughout history”: When economic inequality increases, the people who have become economically more powerful will often attempt to use that power in order to gain even more political power. Once they are able to monopolise political power, they will start using that for changing the rules in their favor. This dynamic is best understood in the realm of electoral politics. In a study of something that most people already consider to be obvious, Larry Bartels, a political scientist at Princeton, examined lawmakers' responsiveness to the interests of various constituents by income, and concluded: In almost every instance, senators appear to be considerably more responsive to the opinions of affluent constituents than to the opinions of middle-class constituents, while the opinions of constituents in the bottom third of the income distribution have no apparent statistical effect on their senators’ roll call votes. In a completely rational society, the best of us would be teachers and the rest of us would have to settle for something less, because passing civilization along from one generation to the next ought to be the highest honour and the highest responsibility anyone could have. -Lee Iacocca, automobile executive (b. 1924). I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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John Hamilton May 7th 2012 4:28 GMT

"President Obama has a decent case to make to the American people. Private employment is higher than when he took office, despite his having begun the job in the thick of the worst downturn since the 1930s. His predecessor, a Republican, was unable to manage net private employment growth on his watch. Since the labour market hit a bottom in early 2010, the economy has added over 3.7m jobs, and private employment has grown by nearly 4.3m—striking numbers given the pessimism that has suffused what many see as a disappointing recovery."

Remember this article R.A. before you write that kind of stuff: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-12/economists-scoff-at-obama-romne....

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flymulla in reply to John Hamilton May 11th 2012 20:09 GMT

I am still not convinced about the job factor as there are so many reportes defying this, one day is is up one day it down so what would you call a good measure? I see news, net, all have the same problem, Is the sample taken from a village and compared to the sample of a city? The statistics is very clear on sampling like trigonometry the law angle. " Amid deepening poverty and unemployment for masses of American working people, the largest US corporations once again posted record profits last year. Fortune magazine released its ranking of the 500 biggest US corporations Monday, which showed that they received a record-breaking $824 billion in combined profits in 2011, up 16 percent from 2010. But despite having more money than ever, companies are refusing to invest and hire. Instead, they are paying out record bonuses to executives and hoarding what remains in cash. The average CEO took home $12.14 million in 2011, up from $12.04 million in 2010 and $10.36 million in 2009, according to a report by the Economic Policy Institute published earlier this month. The ratio of CEO pay to workers' wages has also risen steadily, according to the report. So who is becoming richer at the expense of who? Are these jobs? Is this unemployment? Are people stepping on the feet and say SORRY, """WHY DID YOU KEEP YOUR FEET THERE? """It is all tiring to tie the lose ends after 2007. We better swim with the sharks while we are in water and learn to live with crocs, Tarzan and Jane throw in Friday if you want. It is not funny we are in a hole. SIMPLE I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DA

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Richard Michael Abraham May 6th 2012 12:52 GMT

FED Bernanke's Sacrificial Lambs

Regretfully I am not a FED Bernanke fan.

Anyone owning stocks or exporting will disagree with me.

Thus, since The Economist is an upscale publication where most of the readers possess wealth or stocks or benefit from U.S. exports, my thoughts will not be heard or regarded well.

However, I believe FED Bernanke created a false, empty economy pitting the Wealthy and Financial Institutions and Multi National Corporations against the Recent College Grads, the Middle class, the Average Americans, the Mid Age Executives and the Elderly.

None of the people in these groups are prospering!

And so, FED Bernanke cut the head off the U.S. long term economic prosperity for most Americans so the tail or the Stock Market and Export Business could prosper.

What I believe needs to change:

1. Good paying jobs for recent college graduates.
2. Return to Home Ownership for the Middle Class/Average Americans and good paying jobs.
3. Good paying jobs for Mid Age Executives now unemployed or under employed.
4. Opportunity for elderly to get a descent interest on their bank savings.
5. Opportunity for all of these Americans to escape the massive Inflationary losses of their income or savings.

For these struggling Americans, Mr. Bernanke views them as his sacrificial lambs.

And worse, so long as these Americans suffer, FED Bernanke's economy will be weak and will lead to great despair.

Warmest,

Richard Michael Abraham
Founder
The REDI Foundation
www.redii.org

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flymulla in reply to Richard Michael Abraham May 11th 2012 20:19 GMT

I am sorry I will take you back to some Social state. When she got independence the president who had just come fromChina though that all ought to be equal, took 4 houses of your 5, banks belong to the Raj, your salary cannot be more if you have studied MD LLM, and O level as these come from the same school and schools need to be refunded out of your salary so your cut is equal to that of the highest paid CEO. What happened? We are bagging from all. Please help us. It is silly to think that democracy is the only workable, China , India,Russia, Angola, Saudi, have all various ways or rules. Success or not I have no idea and I do not care. I need like all need two meal a day. I am not being harsh. My question and all ask WHY DID WE GO to WAR and what are the once who took us doing? Note we have this problem from 2007 and is virus like cancer growing daily and no medication. I am not a pessimist but we have to admit that we are in a HUGE ALL CAPS HOLE . I thank you , wages, unemployment, jobs , price of food, I do not care. LIKE ALL I need my share and I will like a DOG not bark. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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hohan in reply to Richard Michael Abraham May 15th 2012 19:49 GMT

your assessment is achievable if America and others start developing protectionism policies (much like China - control the market)as described in chompsky's Hope and Prospects (though not the intent of the book.) Protectionism - is the mechanism that can allow countries to increase the cost of exports providing a demand for lower cost domestic products. Net effect more jobs, services, etc aka money generated remains within its borders. The downside quality and innovation might suffer as a result. These are the choices faced in all the countries teetering on the brink of financial ruin and destablization of the country as a whole.

The 800lbs elephant in the room still remains to be healthcare cost and everyone must realize that utopian societies are unachievable based on the human condition. European's think they have it right but they too are drowning in debt because of it. Europeans abdicate security to the American's and then free up more money for their publice services.

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waldenad May 5th 2012 14:39 GMT

I find it curious that the Federal Reserve seems to want 2% growth this year, but in other years, either during presidential election campaigns or during recoveries after recessions, the Federal Reserve apparently "wanted" significantly higher growth, say 3%, or 4, or 5. So why does Mr. Bernanke want low growth this year? The article doesn't explain the reason behind it, or else I missed it.

A more cynical reader might think that the Economist is desperately attempting to deflect blame for the slow growth from President Obama to someone else, anyone else, even the Federal Reserve Chairman, but of course, I'm not so cynical. Nor is the Economist so biased, is it?

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hedgefundguy in reply to waldenad May 6th 2012 1:09 GMT

We have a Constitution which states all spending measures must begin in the House.

As for Bernanke, if he does anything he risks being a punching bag.

Remember what Rick Perry said of the Fed?

NPWFTL
Regards

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waldenad in reply to hedgefundguy May 10th 2012 21:01 GMT

I am not using Bernanke as a punching bag. The Economist is.

Who care what Rick Perry said about anything? He's the governor of Texas, not the president.

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wiretap May 4th 2012 19:54 GMT

Who put Ben Bernanke in charge then? Does the President choose the Fed chairman or does the Fed chairman choose the President?

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Kaveh May 4th 2012 16:57 GMT

In the fifth paragraph, you twice say rate-cut instead of hike.

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Simmered May 4th 2012 16:12 GMT

The fact is, we're yelling at the wrong guy. As much as Bernanke is to blame, what we need to be doing is yelling at the President - he's already used his recess appointment powers in an extraordinary fashion with the NLRB - but filling the two vacancies on the Fed board with doves would be a far better case for it.

Come on, Mr. President. Bernanke needs someone to pull him in the right direction. You can spin it as part of that "We Can't Wait" campaign.

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fundamentalist May 4th 2012 16:03 GMT

“Had Mr Obama managed to pass legislation preventing quite so many government jobs from being lost, the economy would have run hotter and the Fed would have been correspondingly less aggressive—leading, most likely, to no meaningful difference in the pace of job recovery.”

I doubt that Bernanke would have been less aggressive. The current growth in jobs is not what Bernanke wants. He has made that clear. He merely thinks more monetary pumping won’t help job growth but will boost price inflation. While job growth continues, he is unwilling to boost inflation but he will tolerate higher inflation if it comes.

If job growth falters, he would risk higher inflation from another round of QE.

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hedgefundguy in reply to fundamentalist May 4th 2012 16:23 GMT

Also,
1) The jobs being lost are state and local jobs.
Cleveland Schools will layoff 650+ and Lorain 130+ at the end of the school year.
(Unlike Greece, Spain, etc., states and locals have to balance their budgets.)

2) Congress has to appropriate the money in a bill and send it to the President. Some people think we live in an autocracy, when we really have a plutocracy.
(Something about a silly piece of paper that says all spending measures must begin in the House.)

3.) It's not a question of inflation, it's a question of getting Americans to borrow more so banks can make more money.

NPWFTL
Regards

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flymulla in reply to fundamentalist May 11th 2012 20:28 GMT

There are two sides of economy Micro and Macro. ....With his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, looking on, Chairman Ben Bernanke addresses President George W. Bush and others after being sworn in to the Federal Reserve post. Also on stage with the President are Mrs. Anna Bernanke and Roger W. Ferguson, Jr., Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve..Bernanke said, "Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna [Schwartz, Friedman's coauthor]: Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again..n 2002, following coverage of concerns about deflation in the business news, Bernanke gave a speech about the topic.[49] In that speech, he mentioned that the government in a fiat money system owns the physical means of creating money. So who takes of macro? I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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flymulla in reply to fundamentalist May 12th 2012 9:31 GMT

fundamentalist.. doubt that Bernanke would have been less aggressive. I am not sure if I understand you. On one edge you do not want Bernanke being less aggressive , he will tolerate higher inflation if it comes. IF THIS COMES . We now have no idea of how many are unemployed , registered employed, purposely sleeping at home trying to squeeze some cash from the government. Still studying but applying for a job. This is ver y common in the audit firms as the PWC,KPMG, Delliots want to take care of the bright students and give them incentive to learn more, but this may fail. The issue is very lengthy. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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hedgefundguy May 4th 2012 15:19 GMT

R.A.,

Your analysis is flawed.

The Wall Street banks are now "bank holding companies" that are supposed to be under the jurisdiction of the Fed.

That means Mr. Bernanke has to do what is necessary to keep them afloat and growing.

Ergo, Mr. Bernanke works for the Wall Street banks.

Ergo, Ergo, This is the recovery Wall Street wants.

NPWFTL
Regards

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Melissia in reply to hedgefundguy May 4th 2012 17:35 GMT

I kinda occur here. The ultra-rich have their hands in our government's pockets and it's kinda hard to take them out...

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flymulla in reply to Melissia May 11th 2012 20:35 GMT

I am in Tanzania and I will give you one small example of how the photograph can produce a weak man out of you to a strong politician. Take a chance to go as close as possible and try to shake hand with the president.( I have some photographs who have done these and they pasted these on the shops to avoid the tax nuisance), you are now Superman. Same works in India, may not work in USA but it pays to show in the TV and tell your kids , SEE THAT IS I WITH CLINTON(example only) Money creates money here you have it. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

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jouris May 4th 2012 14:31 GMT

So what you are saying is, the pace of the recovery for the rest of the year depends, in significant part, on how enthused (or at least relaxed) Mr Bernake is about a Romney Presidency?

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Seabourne May 4th 2012 14:29 GMT

what is the breakout between fed/state/local of the 600k job reductions in government? Tough to take credit for shrinking gov't if the shrinkage was at state and local, if that were an arguement that Obama would consider.

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jouris in reply to Seabourne May 4th 2012 14:32 GMT

Except that a signficant part of the shrinkage at the state and local level was due to reductions in Federal funds transfers.

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Doug Pascover in reply to jouris May 4th 2012 16:01 GMT

And some, maybe half of those, were against the President's requests to congress.

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jouris in reply to Doug Pascover May 4th 2012 16:08 GMT

Well, it's not like the Republicans will accept any blame for the impact of laws that they passed (or refused to pass). It's much easier to blame "Washington" if you ignore the fact that you are part of "Washington"!

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chernyshevsky in reply to Seabourne May 4th 2012 17:43 GMT

According to Fed Scope, the database at the Office of Personnel Management, there are 2,100,905 federal employees as of December 2012. There were 1,938,821 in September 2008 (closest date available).

According to data at the Bureau of Economic Analysis, annual federal government consumption (i.e. not including social transfer) was 1,066 billion in Q1 2012. It was 955 billion in Q1 2009. For local and state, it was 1,480 billion in Q1 2012 and 1,417 billion in Q1 2009. That's probably in line with inflation. By 2009, local and state governments have already started cutting back. What's interesting is how little of an effect federal money had on spending at those levels. Officials just choose to borrow less on their own. The saving rate went from -118 billion in Q1 2009 to -5 billion in Q3 2010, at the height of the so-called stimulus package. It has since reverted back to -82 billion in Q4 2011.

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hedgefundguy in reply to chernyshevsky May 5th 2012 2:57 GMT

I think your numbers are off.

4.206 million in 2008.
4.443 million in 2010.
Both include military personnel.

Notice the rise during Reagan, the decline under Bush41 and Clinton, and flat-line for Bush43.

http://www.opm.gov/feddata/HistoricalTables/TotalGovernmentSince1962.asp

NPWFTL
Regards

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chernyshevsky in reply to hedgefundguy May 5th 2012 11:17 GMT

I got my data from the FedScope web site. The numbers exclude postal workers. Major downsizing effort at the postal service can mask increases elsewhere. The number of employees in the executive branch went up significantly under Bush Jr. actually, due primarily to the creation of DHS and increased workload in Veterans Affair.

http://www.fedscope.opm.gov/employment.asp

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flymulla in reply to chernyshevsky May 11th 2012 20:37 GMT

Now the postal services too will be closed as we are on the net I thank you Firozali A. Mulla DBA

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